← HVN Regional Santa Clara by Final Cut TCG
Wind Crux LorraineTier 1
at HVN Regional Santa Clara by Final Cut TCG
decks
4
(4.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
24
14-9-1
overall winrate
60.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.6%
avg ELO +2.8 per match
expected value
54.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1292
· median 1284
· range 1169–1429
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1008
Q1 1177
Q3 1418
1736
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 16.7% | 6 | 5-0-1 | 91.7% | 75.0% | 70.5% | +10.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.6% | +2.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.8% | -1.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.6% | -12.9 |
| Wind Allies | 6.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 30.8% | -18.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.8% | -13.6 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 4.4% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 60.8% | +8.1 |
| Fire Exia | 4.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.2% | +5.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.0% | +19.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.4% | +24.7 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.1% | +3.4 |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diana | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Kongming | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
